Understanding and projecting future sea ice conditions is important to a growing number of stakeholders, including local populations, natural resource industries, fishing communities, commercial shippers, marine tourism operators, national security organizations, regulatory agencies, and the scientific research community. However, gaps in understanding the interactions between Arctic sea ice, oceans, and the atmosphere, along with an increasing rate of change in the nature and quantity of sea ice, is hampering accurate predictions. Although modeling has steadily improved, projections by every major modeling group failed to predict the record breaking drop in summer sea ice extent in September 2012. Establishing sustained communication between the user, modeling, and observation communities could help reveal gaps in understanding, help balance the needs and expectations of different stakeholders, and ensure that resources are allocated to address the most pressing sea ice data needs. The report explores major challenges in sea ice prediction and identifies methods, observations, and technologies that might advance capabilities to predict the extent of sea ice over seasonal to decadal timescales.
A post-release briefing has been scheduled for November 29th at 10:30am EST in Washington, DC at the NAS building, Room 250, located at 2101 Constitution Ave NW. Co-chair, Jackie Richter-Menge, will present the report's findings and answer questions. Please RSVP to Liz Finkelman at efinkelman@nas.edu by November 23rd.
In addition, a webinar presentation and discussion on report highlights with co-chairs Jackie Richter-Menge and John Walsh will be held Thursday, November 29, 2012 at 1:00 p.m. EST. Registration information is available on the website above.
For further information, please contact: Katie Thomas Email: kcthomas@nas.edu
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